For a minute let's look at the most powerful economies on earth. As it is my blog, and I am Canadian, I will make it a top-eleven list.
These are, (GDP)
1 USA $15.68 trillion
2 China $8.36 trillion
3 Japan $5.96 trillion
4 Germany $3.4 trillion
5 France $2.61 trillion
6 UK $2.44 trillion
7 Brazil $2,25 trillion
8 Russia $2.01 trillion
9 Italy $2.01 trillion
10 India $2.01 trillion
11 Canada $1.82 trillion
How does that work out on a per-capita basis? Of course, I am only talking about the countries on the list of economic big players.
1 Canada $52.218
2 USA $49,965
3 Japan $46,720
4 Germany $41,514
5 France $39,771
6 UK $38,514
7 Italy $33,048
8 Russia $14,037
9 Brazil $11,339
10 China $6,188
11 India $1,489
What these two tables tell us is interesting. The gross GDP list tells us who the big players seem to be, and the second tells us which ones are too poor to really present a powerful competitive threat to anybody else on the list.
For example, India makes the tally of economic giants only if the first list is considered. They have an impressive $2.01 trillion dollar GDP, but that only works out to $1,489 per person.
Should the number one country on list one (the USA) need to worry about the economic threat posed by India. I wouldn't think so. Should they worry about China as a competitor, or Brazil, or Russia?
These countries really don't fill the same kind of niche that the USA does, or that the USA wants to fill.
Who then, are the competitive economic super power?
Let's drop the poor nations off. This leaves;
1 USA
2 Japan
3 Germany
4 France
5 UK
6 Italy
7 Canada
The idea should be competition between these nations.
Right-wing people in North America (Canada and the USA) think the way to compete is to cut social programs. This is quite ridiculous.
All except the USA have universal health care, and by not having it has not allowed the USA to pull ahead.
Let's say one of these countries decides to ditch all social programs. For argument, let's make that country be Canada.
We would become a nation of unprotected workers, old people needing to work until they drop, no consumer protection, or environmental programs, or job security. It doesn't sound like a very pleasant place to live or to work. Countries without social programs do not exist on the top 7 list at all. They are all much, much farther down the list, and are relatively insignificant.
I took both of my lists from nationmaster.com, which gets all of their information from the CIA World Fact-book.
You can keep going down the list of top GDP countries, and match that with the list for GDP per capita. You will not find any country that is both significant overall, and on a per-person basis without strong social programs.
Perhaps both left and right-leaning people should adopt some sort of level-playing-field view of social programs.
Let's say one of those countries decides to give every citizen a summer home in the tropics, they should say to themselves, "this is out of line with what our competitors are doing, and will likely hurt us." A country resisting universal health care should also say, "this is out of line, and will hurt our people, and hurt our ability to compete as result."
Welfare? Same test. Giving the needy $1,000,000 a year is out of line and is too much, just as providing the poor with nothing is also out of line, and too little.
Sunday, 19 February 2017
Thursday, 9 February 2017
Don't Wanna Suck
You are not supposed
to chase the rank. You should be training for its own sake. The rank
doesn't matter.
This kind of
thinking is inaccurate. Especially within the Gracie promotion
system.
To go up a stripe,
you must have put in 8 months of training, and attended at least 90
advanced classes, and received your instructor's OK.
Training 3 times a
week will get your attendance tally filled up almost exactly when
your 8 months is up. This is also the maximum that most people train
in a week.
Interestingly, it
almost never seems to work out that way. Viruses happen, as do minor
injuries, and other time commitments. It is rare that anybody gets
their quota filled up at the 8-month mark, and so they train on for 9
months, or 10, or a year.
This makes sense, as
with all things being equal, a person who has attended 90 classes
will have learned more than one who has only made it to, say, 77.
I like getting
promoted on time; call me crazy.
To guarantee this as
much as I can, I have kicked my program into a higher gear. My weekly
goal includes the 3 advanced classes that we have at my home Training
Centre. In addition, I have started visiting the city for an extra 2
classes at a neighbouring school.
Around the time that
I would normally have hit the 90-class mark, I will have made it to
something around 150.
Rank chasing? Maybe,
but I'll also be better at Jiu-Jitsu than if I weren't doing it.
Especially as I
won't just back off once I make it to the attendance goal, but will
soldier on.
I find the very best
form of training is found in private lessons. The Gracie's recognize
this, and count them as double towards attendance totals.
I also want a
private lesson in my weekly tally, and it looks like this will become
possible on a regular basis soon. That means that my weekly tally
will become 7, instead of a normal full load of 3.
I will complete my
quota in under half the time of a regular, good student. By the time
a 3-class-a-week person reaches the mandated 90, I will be at 210.
If I were really
chasing rank, wouldn't I stop at 90, or at least slow down?
The entire
rank-slash-quota-slash-tally thing is supposed to be a motivator, and
it does help. The real result is more training. More training equals
better progress. Attaining rank quickly means you've met or exceeded
the minimum requirements. Not doing so indicates that you haven't met
the minimum standard. I intend exceeding the standard greatly.
My current 8-month
period will end on July 29th. My tally will have finished
in May.
Actually, that's
just the classes that count. I also attend 3 beginner classes per
week to help out, and 2 open-mat free-training times, and meet up a
time or two with friends for extra work. In reality, my weeks hold
more than 12 sessions each. My “real” tally in 8 months is more
like 360. Clearly, this isn't just about chasing the rank.
So why do I do it?
I just don't want to
suck.
Monday, 30 January 2017
Old Car
I like new cars. Old vehicles cost money in nasty little piles.
Our primary car is a delightful Toyota Prius. It is 9 years old, which for me is one year short of retirement time.
Today, it just happens to be service day for oil and filters and such, and getting the summer tires put back on. It also has two lug studs on one of the wheels that need actual repair work. There goes a fistful of cash.
It turns out that the brakes need work, and our summer tires are worn out, and on and on. The total reached $1900.
The good news is that when we drive away it will be on a repaired and serviced car with great brakes and tires on an otherwise old car. What will go next?
It isn't even really about the cost of the work, although I'm not nuts about it. My concern is the reliability. We do big-drive holidays, and having a breakdown in the middle of can't-get-parts-land can be a nightmare.
For me, next year should be new Prius time.
My wife has a different mindset.
It is a fact that even while paying increasing repair costs on an old car, it is a less expensive option than buying a new one. She would prefer to keep our present car until it has to go to the bone yard.
How to reconcile these two opposing views? It's actually quite simple.
We have a second car of a type unsuitable for long-range travel. When our Prius hits 10 years of age next year, this car will only be half as old. It will still be an attractive trade-in that can be applied on a new Prius.
That would give us two of them; one new and reliable, and the other to keep until it goes to the wrecker.
Our primary car is a delightful Toyota Prius. It is 9 years old, which for me is one year short of retirement time.
Today, it just happens to be service day for oil and filters and such, and getting the summer tires put back on. It also has two lug studs on one of the wheels that need actual repair work. There goes a fistful of cash.
It turns out that the brakes need work, and our summer tires are worn out, and on and on. The total reached $1900.
The good news is that when we drive away it will be on a repaired and serviced car with great brakes and tires on an otherwise old car. What will go next?
It isn't even really about the cost of the work, although I'm not nuts about it. My concern is the reliability. We do big-drive holidays, and having a breakdown in the middle of can't-get-parts-land can be a nightmare.
For me, next year should be new Prius time.
My wife has a different mindset.
It is a fact that even while paying increasing repair costs on an old car, it is a less expensive option than buying a new one. She would prefer to keep our present car until it has to go to the bone yard.
How to reconcile these two opposing views? It's actually quite simple.
We have a second car of a type unsuitable for long-range travel. When our Prius hits 10 years of age next year, this car will only be half as old. It will still be an attractive trade-in that can be applied on a new Prius.
That would give us two of them; one new and reliable, and the other to keep until it goes to the wrecker.
Wednesday, 25 January 2017
Two Sides as One
There are two roads
to freedom. The obvious one is the power of the vote.
The problem with
relying on this is that sometimes mistakes happen, and need to be
corrected. The only fear that politicians have is the next election.
That, normally, is years in the future. They can do a lot of damage
in that kind of time.
Let's take the
current, new US administration. They are greatly feared, and the
potential is certainly there for a lot of grief. Not only is the
President suspect, the same party controls the Senate, and the House,
and soon will dominate the Supreme Court as well.
Let's say that they
do what everybody is scared they will do; eliminate all wealth and
corporate taxes, and all government regulation, as well as bringing
in new draconian laws, and destroying all public services; health,
education, veterans affairs...and everything else.
Clearly the people
would be appalled, and in two years the scoundrels would lose control
of both the House and Senate, and two years after that, the
Presidency.
So what? In those
years the people would have had to suffer immensely, all because the
people in power wanted to pillage all they could before their clock
ran out.
And what if we are
not talking about a democratic country at all. How do they remove the
problem?
There is always the
possibility of an actual civil war, but that can take a very long
time and be a bloodbath. In the case of a berserk US administration,
it would take longer than would the democratic process, and so is
unlikely to be deemed worthwhile by the citizenry.
Interestingly, the
solution is two-fold, and together these two components make up
another road to freedom.
There needs to be a
citizenry willing to protest in numbers sufficient to be terrifying
to the government in power, and a military that is unwilling to
intervene in favour of that government.
Let's look at a few
examples of how the will of the people can shine right through a
military intervention.
At the start of the
French Revolution, everyone was scared to death of the mighty French
army crushing the desperate people of Paris. The King was unwilling
to bend to the masses, and brought more and more troops into the
simmering city, confident in their power. Then that whole Bastille
thing erupted, with people facing off against the guns of the prison
garrison. In the middle of it all, the Army showed up......
...and joined the
people, forcing the prison authorities to surrender.
In Eastern Europe,
several of the Communist regimes, desperate to retain power, ordered
their troops to open fire on the assembled mass of their protesting
citizenry. The soldiers refused.
In both of these
examples, the soldiers knew that they were part of the people. The
protesters were the families, friends, and neighbours of the soldiers
lined up before them. In effect, they were the soldiers, and the
soldiers were them.
More recently, well
over three million Americans joined the Women's protest march against
their new, suspect government. There was no violence, and the police
lined up to control them were in good humour and friendly. They joked
with the women, and swapped hats. Likely, many of them had spouses,
friends, and neighbours out marching. The police were the protestors,
and the protestors were them. No riot gear, or water cannons, or tear
gas.
This is remarkable
occurrence for the USA, as normally the military and police are
willing to see protestors as some kind of “other.” Currently in
North Dakota, this is precisely what is happening. The protestors are
being regularly gasses, and hosed in sub-zero temperatures, being
labelled as a bunch of native troublemakers and hippy
environmentalists.
Imagine the reaction
if over 3 million African Americans came out to peacefully protest
Trump's election. Do you think they would be met by happy, joking
policemen? There would be lines of men in riot gear, and armoured
vehicles, and swat teams. Even if there were not a single incident,
the day-long event would be tense from the first moment until the
last.
It isn't that there
are no Black or Native police and soldiers, as of course there are.
It is what the mass of the police and soldiers can be made to feel.
If the protestors can be made into an “other,” then the people in
uniform will willingly stand against them.
Consider the
anti-war situation during the Vietnam War. At Kent State University
in Ohio, members of the National Guard were called out in reaction to
violent protest by students. These solders were literally the same
people as the students. They were the same age, and clearly anti-war.
In the 1960s if a young person joined the National Guard they were
most likely doing it to avoid being sent to Viet Nam.
On May 5th, 1970 the
soldiers spontaneously opened fire on the crowd for 13 seconds,
killing 4 and wounding 9 others. Officers immediately ordered a cease
fire. If the troops had been actually ordered to open fire, it would
seem that these young soldiers would have been happy to comply. This
is by far the more usual reaction of American soldiers and police
when facing protestors.
This is not unique
to them.
In 1989, after
prolonged pro-democracy protest, the Chinese government had had
enough. Troops were ordered to move violently against the protestors.
Thousands were killed, and thousands more arrested. The soldiers
were made to believe that the students were out to destroy the
Chinese state.
In countries such as
modern France, citizens and government understand this relationship.
Cut pensions to old people, and the grey-haired citizens will march
with fire in their eyes. The government knows that they are at the
mercy of their citizenry. They also know that they cannot count on
anybody in uniform acting as armed muscle for protection.
Should the French
government do something that the people would refuse to accept then
the masses will march. The army will not intervene to stop them. The
soldiers are the protestors and the protestors are them. Anger the
people enough, and it won't be chanting, signs, and songs. Make the
people mad enough and they will remove you. They will not wait for
some future election.
Let's say that the
current US government were to do something unacceptable to the
American people. Let's say a few hundred thousand citizens of more
show up in Washington, marching towards the White House. Lines of
armed men await them with orders to use deadly force. The uniformed
men instead choose to step aside, and the crown surges across the
White House lawn, and into the building. Of course, Trump would have
fled earlier, but the image of angry citizens swarming through the
White House would make quite an impression.
That's what the
women marching did. Trump won't hear them, and nor will his cronies.
Some of that party will be concerned about future elections, but not
enough. What the millions of women did was to draw a line in the
sand, and show that they had millions who would move together. They
planned and did this before the new administration even had time to
do anything that the women feared. They did it preemptively.
It also looked as if
the authorities would be unwilling to turn water cannons on them, or
to use tear gas, or machine guns.
Monday, 23 January 2017
Not a Sprint
New people in
Jiu-Jitsu are funny, and all the same.
They get their early
lessons to gain some basic skills, and then eventually join the
advanced group. This is where free-rolling happens.
There is a Billy
Joel song called Goodnight Saigon, where a soldier describes rookies
entering their first combat with the words, “We came in spastic, like
tameless horses.” All new rollers in Jiu-Jitsu do the same thing.
They are hyper, and terrified, and unpredictable. None of these
characteristics do them any good at all. They gallop around in a
panic, incredibly tense, and grabbing everything in sight.
Let's look at two
guys from last night.
The first is a
kickboxing guy with some experience of grappling as it is done by mma
guys. He was trying a few tricks he knew, and with a lot of power. At
one point he was on top of me, but I had him in half-guard. He was
pushing hard to get an arm triangle going, which can't work from
inside of the half-guard. For fun, I let him out, and he cranked his
muscle tension up to about 100% to complete the submission. I
countered, and let him yank away to no effect at all. There we were,
all tangled up, with him exerting every ounce of force he could
produce, and with me quietly holding out effectively using no
exertion whatsoever; leverage totally on my side of the encounter.
Then there's Tawha.
She's half my size, and gives me fits when we roll. She is always
totally relaxed, and never tries to power through anything. Although
I am more experienced, she knows enough principals and technique to
be dangerous.
This is one of the
beauties of non-sport Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu over other grappling arts.
In a real fight there are no time limits or weight categories or
points.
Let's say you are
the strongest guy at your mma school, and are able to beat your
buddies using force, and then you end up facing somebody bigger, and
a heck of a lot stronger than you are. What have you got? You'll be
like the biggest, baddest kindergarten kid facing the biggest,
baddest kid in grade seven.
Competition rules
also screw people up. You'd think that Collegiate wrestlers would be
the top of the grappling food chain, what with their intensive
training programs. The truth is, they are not. They train for years
with the expectation of time limits, and size categories. One of the
truths that is the most deeply engrained in their DNA is to never,
ever be on their back, or to even let their back touch the mat for a
second. Flip a wrestler on their back, and they will explode to get
off. Fake an attempt to flip them on their back, and they will do
anything to stop you.
In non-sport
grappling, you need to know how to fight on your back. Do it for a
while, and you won't care much if you are on top of your opponent, or
underneath. It doesn't matter even a tiny bit if it seems like your
opponent is dominating and defeating you. What matters is the
technique that ends everything in your favour.
Burning energy is a
big part of this, or rather not burning it. Most people fight like
they are running a sprint. It shouldn't be that way, but that seems
to be human nature. I've beaten people without really doing anything
at all. They attack with maximum effort, and defend the same way.
Their muscles are tense, and they go, go, go. This burns a lot of
energy, and the muscle tension actually restricts their breathing,
making things a great deal worse for them. It isn't unusual for this
type of effort to cut oxygen intake by half.
So they are
sprinting, while their Jiu-Jitsu opponent is not. The Jiu-Jitsu guy
is mostly defending, and doing just enough to keep the other person's
level of exertion up. The occasional choke threat is great for this,
or even a random grab.
How long can you
sprint? Not very long, I'll bet. Let's say it's a minute before you
notice that you're about to exhaust yourself and you'd better stop
before you poop out altogether. The problem is that you can't just
stop like you can with running. The other guy isn't about to stop
just because you want to. Let's say you are blown, and try and gear
down to 50% to try and rest while still fighting. A great idea,
except you are already tired. Your body is unable to behave the same
at 50% as it would if you were still fresh. You will be quite
inefficient, and clumsy, and slow, and weak, and more prone to
increased fatigue.
That's when the
fresh guy will make his move. You will be to slow, and weak and
clumsy to stop him.
This is what I mean
when I've beaten people without submitting them. They've gone like
it's a sprint until totally exhausted, and have actually quit rather
than try and continue. Their faces are normally either bright red at
this point, or sometimes very pale. It varies.
It sounds easy to
do, but like most unnatural learned skills, it isn't.
Consider swimming
lessons. Tell a non-swimmer that they need to relax in order to swim
well, then throw them into deep water. They will find relaxation to
be totally impossible.
It takes practice to
master.
Tuesday, 17 January 2017
Commute
Monday I decided to
do things the hard way, and go to the city using transit.
Helen has her own
car, which meant I didn't have to use the coast bus system getting to
the ferry. I used my car and parked it at the terminal for a bargain
rate of $2.25 for the day.
That all means that
I got to the ferry in 30 minutes, instead of over an
hour-and-a-quarter of busing.
The ferry ride has
no charge when headed to the city; they get you on the ride back.
Foot passengers load on before the cars, so I was easily able to be
the very first in line at the cafeteria. Grabbed a meal of bacon and
eggs and toast and potatoes. No need to do a transit adventure on an
empty stomach.
The boat ride is
about 45 minutes either way. When they opened the floodgate for the
foot passengers, I scooted out quickly. It wasn't really a fair race,
as I needed a stop next to the bus stop at the machine that sells
fares. I was ahead at the machine, but it put me well back in the
line for actual bus loading. In future I will simply use the fare
card I purchased this time out and will be one of the first to the
bus.
The bus is extremely
long, and is in three sections. Being one of the last bodies aboard,
I had to stand. My spot was right on the hinge between two bus
sections. Whenever there was a turn, my spot became very similar to
surfing. No place to put my bag either, so had to carry it strapped
on the entire way, and it was heavy.
Got off at Park
Royal mall. Found where my next bus would pick me up, expecting a 15
minute wait. My handy dandy transit app said one of my buses had left
one minute earlier. However, a bus promptly turned up with my number
on it. The bus I'd “missed” was slightly late, and so I got an
early pickup.
My bus riding ended
at Lonsdale Quay, which is a transit hub, as well as a shopping and
eating venue in North Vancouver. The total bus fare is $2.75 going in
either direction. I scouted out where to catch my return ride, and
then headed off to a Starbucks which was on my walking route.
After my coffee
break, it was about a ten minute walk to the North Vancouver
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu academy. I received a lovely welcome from the
Black Belt instructor, Marc Marins.
The noon classes are
always small, and this time there were about 7 or 8 of us. My partner
was a friend who moved to the city a year-and-a-half ago. When
sparring time started, she was my first partner.
After Elizabeth, I
rolled with two big, young guys. They were both pretty good, and will
kick my butt when they pick up a little more technique. My final
partner was Marc, the instructor. He dumbed his skill level down to
around my own, and found a few pointers for me in the middle of the
roll. I liked that.
After class,
Elizabeth and I walked together back to Lonsdale Quay. She is
likewise a transit rider, but her ride was heading the opposite
direction from mine. We chatted. She wants me to “make” other
members of my school come train in the city, too. I agreed to mention
it to them.
Ate a nice plate of
pad thai at the Quay, then caught my bus homeward. For some reason
traffic was insane. Arrival at Park Place mall was late, but the big
issue was that the bus to the ferry terminal was extremely late.
Most of the
passengers looked nervous, and did a lot of watch glancing. We ran
from the bus to the ferry ticket booth, but it didn't help. Loading
was already finished, and the ferry pulling out.
Now, with plenty of
time before the next boat home, I strolled off to pick up my second
Starbucks coffee of the day. Got my boarding pass, which was $13, and
waddled to the appropriate waiting room. Only a couple of people were
there ahead of me, and the room was all nice and warm. My wait was 2
hours. An annoyance, but I really had nothing to rush about. Sat all
comfy with my drink, and my phone, and did a bit of people watching.
Boarded on time, and
sat in another warm spot. Sometimes seats can be shockingly cold on
the boat as there are places exposed to the outside air. Did the 45
minute ride comfortably, and then picked up my waiting car.
Being right in the
middle of ferry traffic, the drive was slow, but nothing shocking.
To get my hour of
Jiu-Jitsu instruction, along with a half-hour of rolling, I had first
hit the road at just after 7am, and got home at about 7:15pm.
Next time, I won't
go to eat after class. My pad thai added two hours to my adventure
that I could quite happily have done without.
The total travel
bill worked out to $20.75. Coffee and food was more at $33. If I'd
taken the car, the food and coffee would likely have been the same,
but the transportation costs higher at $54.50.
I wouldn't have
missed the ferry if I'd been driving, but in the future having a car
could have an opposite effect. Foot passengers normally get on if
they arrive on time. Cars sometimes get left behind if there are too
many of them trying to fit on.
Comparing perfect
transit versus automobile trips would see me on the exact same
ferries regardless of transport method. No time savings either way.
There is even a
third option. I could ride the same ferries, and ride my bike. This
is more of a fine-weather option, but quite viable. Google Maps says
that the ride each way on the city side will take 90 minutes. That
would be fine. As my bike will soon be electrified, it will take even
less time. On this side, the bike would easily ride in the car to the
ferry terminal, as it is a folding one.
Is this all worth
it? If I were still a working Joe, the idea of giving up what is
effectively an entire day-off to gain 1.5 hour of Jiu-Jitsu would
look like madness, even if the financial cost were irrelevant. Most
people only have two such days in a week. Being a retired gentleman
of leisure, this isn't really a consideration. I have seven free days
each week.
Marc Marins teaches
3 noon classes per week. The Saturday one is good, but very crowded.
The two weekday classes are much smaller, and students receive more
attention.
I think I'll try and
attend the two weekday classes unless something else pops up. This
week, for example, I cannot make it to both, and so will be content
with only one.
Before the commuting
starts to feel like too much, which it likely will eventually, I'll
shift down to once per week. If even that starts to drag, I can cut
it back even further. Once in two weeks, or perhaps once per month.
This is my take on
the ins-and-outs of training in the city from here.
Monday, 9 January 2017
Three Friend Saturday
One of my pet peeves
struck again.
I was in the city on
Saturday to train at the North Vancouver Bazilian Jiu-Jitsu school.
The class was excellent, and there was a generous amount of sparring
at the end. One of the people I got to roll with was an old friend
who moved to the city about a year-and-a half ago.
She didn't train at
all for the first year after her move, and then started up at the
North Vancouver school. During the roll, she apologized for not
having improved.
At the time, she was
giving me all sorts of trouble.
If she had not
progressed at all, I could have run rough-shod over her.
I was better than
her back then, and I've improved a lot in the meantime. I have
trained for hundreds and hundreds of hours since her move. I know a
lot of stuff now that I had no clue about a year-and-a-half ago.
The version of
Elizabeth that I rolled with on Saturday would have been able to
easily dominate and submit the version of her from the middle of
2015. She has gotten better, even if she can't see it. Sure she could
have progressed more with more consistent training, but she has still
improved over what she had back then.
Another friend of
mine, Tobias, was also there, dropping in. He often feels himself
getting stuck in a plateau situation, and not progressing. We rolled,
and it was vastly fun. He has it all over me in athleticism, and our
skill sets are pretty close. He hasn't brought the topic up lately,
which is good, as I've never seen his progress stagnate.
It would have been
wonderful enough to be able to train with two friends, but it was a
very good Saturday indeed. There were actually three of them there. I
got to train with Koko, as well. She never complains about lack of
progress. She has been living in the city for a few years while
attending university. During breaks back home, she practices like a crazy
person (almost like me), and when at school she trains with the SFU
Judo club. Some things get rusty and away from her. It has to happen
in her situation. She just accepts that, and keeps her basics solid
as stone, and then works some of the fun stuff when she's home.
By chance, all three
of my friends wear three stripes on their Blue Belts. Their very next
promotion is the last that they will receive before making the
transition to Purple Belt.
They do not award
Purple Belts to people who are not up to standard.
When the time comes,
all three will be seriously able to kick that test's butt.
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